Publications

In review

23. Steinert, N. J., J. Schwinger, R. Chadwick, J.-S. Kug, H. Lee: Lasting seasonal changes of land water availability after temperature overshoot driven by a shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, In review.

22. Park, S-W., J.-S. Kug, H. Lee, N. J. Steinert, S.-I. An, S. Jongsoo: Potential intensification of permafrost carbon feedback under net-zero and negative emissions, In review.

21. Schleussner, C.-F., ..., N. J. Steinert, ..., et al.: Overconfidence in climate overshoot, In review.

20. Mathison, C. T., E. Burke, E. Kovacs, G. Munday, C. Jones, C. Smith, C. Huntingford, A. Wiltshire, N. J. Steinert, L. Gohar, R. Varney: A rapid application emissions-to-impacts tool for scenario assessment: Probabilistic Regional Impacts from Model patterns and Emissions (PRIME), EGUsphere [preprint], 2024, In review.

19. Munday, G., C. D. Jones, N. J. Steinert, C. Mathison, E. Burke, C. Smith, C. Huntingford, R. Varney: Risks of unavoidable impacts on forests at 1.5°C with and without overshoot, In review.

Accepted

18. Steinert, N. J., F. J. Cuesta-Valero, F. García-Pereira, P. de Vrese, C. Melo-Aguilar, E. García-Bustamante, J. H. Jungclaus, J. F. González-Rouco: Underestimated land heat uptake alters the global energy distribution in CMIP6 climate models, Geophysical Research Letters, Accepted.

17. Nitzbon, J., T. Schneider von Deimling, M. Aliyeva, S. E. Chadburn, G. Grosse, S. Laboor, H. Lee, G. Lohmann, N. J. Steinert, S. M. Stuenzi, M. Werner, S. Westermann, and M. Langer: No respite from permafrost-thaw impacts in absence of a global tipping point, Nature Climate Change, Accepted.

16. Bustamante, M., ..., N. J. Steinert, ..., et al.: Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2023/2024, Global Sustainability, https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2023.25, Accepted.

2024

15. García-Pereira, F., J. F. González-Rouco, C. Melo-Aguilar, N. J. Steinert, E. García-Bustamante, P. de Vrese, Johann Jungclaus, Stephan Lorenz, Stefan Hagemann, F. J. Cuesta-Valero, A. García-García and H. Beltrami: First comprehensive assessment of industrial era land heat uptake from multiple sources, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 547–564, 2024.

14. Wunderling, N. & von der Heydt, A. S., ..., N. J. Steinert, ..., et al.: Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: A review, Earth System Dynamics, 15(1), 41–74, 2024.

13. García-Pereira, F., J. F. González-Rouco, T. Schmid, C. Melo-Aguilar, C. Vegas-Cañas, N. J. Steinert, P. J. Roldán-Gómez, F. J. Cuesta-Valero, A. García-García, H. Beltrami, and P. de Vrese: Thermodynamic and hydrological drivers of the subsurface thermal regime in Central Spain, SOIL, 10(1), 1–21, 2024.

2023

12. Steinert, N. J., M. V. Debolskiy, E. J. Burke, F. García-Pereira, and H. Lee: Evaluating permafrost definitions for global permafrost area estimates in CMIP6 climate models, Environmental Research Letters, 19(1), 014033, 2023.

11. de Vrese, P., G. Georgievski, J. F. Gonzalez Rouco, D. Notz, T. Stacke, N. J. Steinert, S. Wilkenskjeld, and V. Brovkin: Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and subarctic climate, The Cryosphere, 17(5), 2095–2118.

2022

10. Schwinger, J., A. Asaadi, N. J. Steinert, H. Lee: Emit now, mitigate later? Earth system reversibility under overshoots of different magnitude and durations, Earth System Dynamics, 13(4), 1641–1665, 2022.

9. Martin, M., ..., N. J. Steinert, ..., et al.: Ten new insights in climate science 2022, Global Sustainability, 5, e20, 1–20, 2022.

8. Melo-Aguilar, C. A., J. F. González-Rouco, N. J. Steinert, H. Beltrami, F. Cuesta-Valero, A. García-García, F. García-Pereira, E. García-Bustamante, P. Roldán-Gómez, T. Schmid and J. Navarro: Near-surface soil thermal regime and land–air temperature coupling: a case study over Spain, International Journal of Climatology, 42(15), 7516-7534, 2022.

7. Steinert, N.: Impact of improved land surface model physics on simulated climate variability and change, 2022, Thesis.

2021

6. González-Rouco, J. F., N. J. Steinert, E. García-Bustamante, S. Hagemann, P. de Vrese, J. H. Jungclaus, S. J. Lorenz, C. Melo-Aguilar, F. García-Pereira, and J. Navarro: Increasing the Depth of a Land Surface Model. Part I: Impacts on the Subsurface Thermal Regime and Energy Storage, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(12), 3211-3230, 2021.

5. Steinert, N. J., J. F. González-Rouco, P. de Vrese, E. García-Bustamante, S. Hagemann, C. Melo-Aguilar, J. H. Jungclaus, and S. J. Lorenz: Increasing the Depth of a Land Surface Model. Part II: Temperature Sensitivity to Improved Subsurface Thermodynamics and Associated Permafrost Response, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(12), 3231-3254, 2021.

4. Steinert, N. J., J. F. González-Rouco, C. A. Melo Aguilar, F. García-Pereira, E. García-Bustamante, P. de Vrese, V. Alexeev, J. H. Jungclaus, S. J. Lorenz, S. Hagemann: Agreement of Analytical and Simulation-Based Estimates of the Required Land Depth in Climate Models, Geophysical Research Letters, 48(20), e2021GL094273, 2021.

3. González-Rouco J. F., García-Bustamante, E., F. García Pereira, Lucio Eceiza, E., Melo Aguilar, C., Navarro Montesinos, J., Rojas Labanda, C., Roldán, P., Steinert, N., and Vegas Cañas, C.: Cambio climático: una perspectiva global., In: Cambio climático en el Mediterráneo: procesos, riesgos y políticas. Romero J., J. Olcina (Eds.). Ch. 2, 49-73, 2021, Tirant Humanidades, Valencia.

2020

2. Melo-Aguilar, C., González-Rouco, J. F., García-Bustamante, E., Steinert, N., Jungclaus, J. H., Navarro, J., and Roldán-Gómez, P. J.: Methodological and physical biases in global to subcontinental borehole temperature reconstructions: an assessment from a pseudo-proxy perspective, Climate of the Past, 16, 453-474, 2020.

2018

1. Melo-Aguilar, C., González-Rouco, J. F., García-Bustamante, E., Navarro-Montesinos, J., and Steinert, N.: Influence of radiative forcing factors on ground-air temperature coupling during the last millennium: implications for borehole climatology, Climate of the Past, 14, 1583-1606, 2018.


Reports

T. M. Lenton, D.I. Armstrong McKay, S. Loriani, J.F. Abrams, S.J. Lade, J.F. Donges, M. Milkoreit, T. Powell, S.R. Smith, C. Zimm, J.E. Buxton, E. Bailey, L. Laybourn, A. Ghadiali, J.G. Dyke (eds), 2023, Global Tipping Points Report 2023. University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.

Future Earth, The Earth League, WCRP (2023), 10 New Insights in Climate Science 2023/2024. Stockholm

Future Earth, The Earth League, WCRP (2022), 10 New Insights in Climate Science 2022. Stockholm


Datasets

Dataset: Underestimated land heat uptake alters the global energy distribution in CMIP6 climate models

Distribution maps of Biosphere and Cryosphere tipping elements

Dataset: Evaluating permafrost definitions for global permafrost area estimates in CMIP6 climate models